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Polling Observatory 41: Opinion stable for now, but election battle lines are being drawn

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: October 8, 2014

This is the forty-first in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can be […]

Tagged With: cameron, Conservative, election, GE2015, Labour, Lib Dems, party conference, polling, polls, UKIP, voters, voting

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Where’s the evidence for IDS’s new ‘smartcard’ scheme for poor?

David Hulme By David Hulme Filed Under: Featured Posted: September 30, 2014

Iain Duncan Smith has announced the launch of pre-paid cards, loaded with benefit payments to ensure that money will go to feed families and not “self-destructive habits”. It was an initiative that attracted applause from his Conservative party colleagues. But, asks Professor David Hulme, is it really necessary? Hear Prof David Hulme speak at a […]

Tagged With: benefits, conservatives, Iain Duncan Smith, IDS, state aid, universal credit, welfare

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Where next for Labour’s schools policy?

Ruth Lupton By Ruth Lupton Filed Under: Featured Posted: September 29, 2014

With the Labour Party conference in town, Manchester Institute of Education (MIE) invited four leading figures in education to join teachers, academics, teacher educators, parents and others in a public debate on what a future Labour government should do on schools. Prof Ruth Lupton considers some of their key ideas. Panel members were Rt. Hon David […]

Tagged With: academies, children, education, Labour, MIE, policy, pupils, schools, teachers, teaching

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Why do ethnic inequalities continue to matter?

James Nazroo By James Nazroo Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: September 25, 2014

Have we moved into a ‘post-race’ policy environment, in which politicians claim ethnic inequalities no longer matter? They remain important and significant, counters Prof James Nazroo. When was the last time you heard an MP, let alone a minister, talk about ethnicity in terms of inequality? In mainstream policy discussion we appear to have moved […]

Tagged With: census, CoDE, discrimination, diversity, employment, ethnic minority employment, ethnicity, national identity, race, racism

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Polling Observatory Scottish referendum special: who is ahead, and how close is it?

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

This is a Scottish independence special of a regular series of posts that reports on the state of support for the parties in Westminster as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]

Tagged With: cameron, independence, No, opinion, polling, polls, Salmond, Scotland, Scottish referendum, voters, voting, Yes

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The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best use of […]

Tagged With: Conservative, election forecast, GE2015, general election, Labour, Liberal Democrat, polling, polling observatory, UKIP, voters, voting

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Polling Observatory 40: Treading water as Scotland’s big moment approaches

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 9, 2014

This is the fortieth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Tagged With: conservatives, GE2015, general election, Labour, Liberal Democrats, polling observatory, Scotland, Scottish referendum, UKIP, voters, voting

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Racial inequality in employment worsened in recessions

Yaojun Li By Yaojun Li Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: September 4, 2014

Despite Race Acts intended to ensure equality of opportunity, employment inequality persists – and got worse in each recent recession, explains Professor Yaojun Li. Ethnic minority men are more likely than white men to be jobless when the economy is booming. During periods of recession they suffer disproportionately higher unemployment rates. Social surveys covering the […]

Tagged With: ethnic minorities, General Household Survey, Labour Force Survey, Race Acts, recession, unemployment

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Can we ever estimate how many British Muslims will become Islamic extremists?

Maria Sobolewska By Maria Sobolewska Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 26, 2014

That the UK’s counter-terrorism policy relies on flawed polls and survey questions for estimating the number of likely terrorists is truly scary, argues Dr Maria Sobolewska. Last week the media turned once again to trying to quantify how many young British Muslims are wannabe terrorists, travelling to Syria and Iraq and joining the Islamic terrorists […]

Tagged With: 7/7, British Muslims, IS, Islam, Islamic State, London bombings, muslims, Terrorism, UK muslims

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The decline of racial prejudice in Britain

Rob Ford By Rob Ford Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 21, 2014

The recent release of the 2013 British Social Attitudes report has triggered the usual bout of agonised soul searching about the state of the nation, writes Dr Robert Ford. But dig into the data and it becomes clear that racial prejudice is on the decline. The British, it seems, are becoming meaner and more inward […]

Tagged With: BSA, inequality, prejudice, racial prejudice, racism, social attitudes

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