Manchester Policy Blogs
Expert insight, analysis and comment on key public policy issues

The Polling Observatory Forecast 3: Slow decline in Tory prospects, but still too close to call

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best [...]
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