This year’s European elections and Scottish referendum may signify a more profound change in British politics than the General Election in 2015, writes Ed Cox. Taken together, they present an opportunity for the people of the United Kingdom to send a clear message to the mainstream political parties. Tomorrow’s local and European elections are not […]
Cameron’s strategy makes federal Europe more likely
David Cameron’s negative approach of demanding a renegotiation of the UK’s EU membership terms and putting this to a referendum is a cloud hanging over this week’s European elections, warns Professor Dimitris Papadimitriou. This is a strategy that could backfire spectacularly. This week’s elections to the European Parliament are overshadowed in Britain by the rise of UKIP and […]
Polling Observatory #36: Farage’s Spring Uprising
This is the thirty-sixth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can be […]
Polling Observatory #35 (March 2014): Politics, Fast and Slow
This is the thirty-fifth in a series of posts that report by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]
UKIP on the verge of a breakthrough
After tonight’s second Nick Clegg v Nigel Farage debate, 38% of viewers more likely to vote for UKIP according to a Guardian ICM poll. And there is a real prospect that the party could break through to become one of Britain’s two or three largest parties explain Dr Rob Ford and Dr Matthew Goodwin. UKIP is […]
Polling Observatory 31: No joy from the polls as festive season approaches
This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup, is the thiry-first in a series that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. Manchester Policy Blogs will be posting Polling Observatory updates on a regular basis, alongside the well-established Ballots and Bullets blog. A more detailed […]