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Tag Archives for: "polls"
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Failed political predictions and the future of opinion polls

By Thomas Loughran Filed Under: All posts, British Politics Posted: December 5, 2016

The 2015 UK General Election, the EU Referendum and, most recently, the US Presidential Election all produced results which most major pollsters and media outlets failed to predict. Amongst growing distrust of opinion polls across the Western World, Thomas Loughran considers the use of political opinion polls and where to go from here. The decline […]

Tagged With: Brexit, elections, general election, opinions polls, politics, polls, prediction, referendum, US Presidential election

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Polling Observatory 41: Opinion stable for now, but election battle lines are being drawn

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: October 8, 2014

This is the forty-first in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can be […]

Tagged With: cameron, Conservative, election, GE2015, Labour, Lib Dems, party conference, polling, polls, UKIP, voters, voting

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Polling Observatory Scottish referendum special: who is ahead, and how close is it?

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

This is a Scottish independence special of a regular series of posts that reports on the state of support for the parties in Westminster as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]

Tagged With: cameron, independence, No, opinion, polling, polls, Salmond, Scotland, Scottish referendum, voters, voting, Yes

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Polling Observatory 38: Polls may bounce, but public opinion usually doesn’t

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: July 9, 2014

This is the thirty-eighth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Tagged With: GE2015, general election, opinion, polling, polls, voter intention, votes, voting

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Polling Observatory #36: Farage’s Spring Uprising

Rob FordMark PickupWill Jennings By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup and Will Jennings Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted: May 2, 2014

This is the thirty-sixth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup  that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can be […]

Tagged With: Farage, GE2015, general election, Labour, polling observatory, polls, UKIP

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