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The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best use of […]

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Polling Observatory 40: Treading water as Scotland’s big moment approaches

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the fortieth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

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Polling Observatory 39: Big two recover as UKIP fall back

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-nineth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

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Polling Observatory #36: Farage’s Spring Uprising

Rob FordMark PickupWill Jennings By , and Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-sixth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup  that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can be […]

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