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Policy@Manchester Articles
Expert insight, analysis and comment on key public policy issues
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All Public Services are Local: why we need smaller, and bigger, local government (in England)

Colin Talbot By Colin Talbot Filed Under: Whitehall Watch Posted: September 12, 2014

Here’s a simple question: why does the UK have a single agency, HM Revenue and Customs, to collect most taxes? This idea is so embedded in the UK political psyche that it is never, ever, questioned. But there are clear examples of alternatives that work perfectly well. In Denmark, for example, local government collects most […]

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Polling Observatory Scottish referendum special: who is ahead, and how close is it?

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

This is a Scottish independence special of a regular series of posts that reports on the state of support for the parties in Westminster as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]

Tagged With: cameron, independence, No, opinion, polling, polls, Salmond, Scotland, Scottish referendum, voters, voting, Yes

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The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best use of […]

Tagged With: Conservative, election forecast, GE2015, general election, Labour, Liberal Democrat, polling, polling observatory, UKIP, voters, voting

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Polling Observatory 40: Treading water as Scotland’s big moment approaches

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 9, 2014

This is the fortieth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Tagged With: conservatives, GE2015, general election, Labour, Liberal Democrats, polling observatory, Scotland, Scottish referendum, UKIP, voters, voting

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Racial inequality in employment worsened in recessions

Yaojun Li By Yaojun Li Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: September 4, 2014

Despite Race Acts intended to ensure equality of opportunity, employment inequality persists – and got worse in each recent recession, explains Professor Yaojun Li. Ethnic minority men are more likely than white men to be jobless when the economy is booming. During periods of recession they suffer disproportionately higher unemployment rates. Social surveys covering the […]

Tagged With: ethnic minorities, General Household Survey, Labour Force Survey, Race Acts, recession, unemployment

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Can we ever estimate how many British Muslims will become Islamic extremists?

Maria Sobolewska By Maria Sobolewska Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 26, 2014

That the UK’s counter-terrorism policy relies on flawed polls and survey questions for estimating the number of likely terrorists is truly scary, argues Dr Maria Sobolewska. Last week the media turned once again to trying to quantify how many young British Muslims are wannabe terrorists, travelling to Syria and Iraq and joining the Islamic terrorists […]

Tagged With: 7/7, British Muslims, IS, Islam, Islamic State, London bombings, muslims, Terrorism, UK muslims

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The decline of racial prejudice in Britain

Rob Ford By Rob Ford Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 21, 2014

The recent release of the 2013 British Social Attitudes report has triggered the usual bout of agonised soul searching about the state of the nation, writes Dr Robert Ford. But dig into the data and it becomes clear that racial prejudice is on the decline. The British, it seems, are becoming meaner and more inward […]

Tagged With: BSA, inequality, prejudice, racial prejudice, racism, social attitudes

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Polling Observatory 39: Big two recover as UKIP fall back

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: August 20, 2014

This is the thirty-nineth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Tagged With: election, electorate, GE2015, general election, opinion polls, polling observatory, popularity, voters, voting

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To save lives we must rethink our assumptions about good healthcare

Stephanie Snow By Stephanie Snow Filed Under: Featured, Science and Technology Posted: August 7, 2014

A new report in the British Medical Journal on centralising acute stroke services in Greater Manchester and London reveals the revolution in stroke care and treatment over the last twenty years – and it contains vital lessons for patients and policymakers, explains Dr Stephanie Snow. Around 152,000 of us will suffer from stroke in the […]

Tagged With: acute care, GPs, health, hospitals, London, Manchester, NHS, NHS reform, stroke

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Politicians need to grasp that there are many ways of being British

Bridget Byrne By Bridget Byrne Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 7, 2014

There are many ways of being British. This is a reality that politicians and others need to understand, explains Dr Bridget Byrne. In response to the ‘Trojan horse’ controversy in Birmingham, David Cameron, Conservative Party leader has again stressed his belief in the need to emphasise ‘British values’. This is not a new approach. In […]

Tagged With: British values, Britishness, David Cameron, David Goodhart, Ed Miliband, ethnicity, immigration, language, race

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