Polling Observatory

Polling Observatory 38: Polls may bounce, but public opinion usually doesn’t

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: July 9, 2014

This is the thirty-eighth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

The Polling Observatory Forecast 2: Still A Dead Heat, Despite Recent Turbulence

By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: June 18, 2014

As explained in the previous inaugural election forecast last month, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The method employed involves trying to make the […]

Polling Observatory 37: No Westminster polling aftershock from European earthquake

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: June 10, 2014

This is the thirty-seventh in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces […]

Polling Observatory General Election Forecast #1: Parties set for a photo finish

By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: May 7, 2014

With exactly a year to go until the country goes to the polls, the Polling Observatory team launch their forecast for the outcome of 2015 general election. Starting this month, the Polling Observatory team is joined by a new member: our old friend and colleague, Christopher Wlezien of the University of Texas at Austin, who will […]

Polling Observatory #36: Farage’s Spring Uprising

By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup and Will Jennings Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted: May 2, 2014

This is the thirty-sixth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can be […]

Polling Observatory #35 (March 2014): Politics, Fast and Slow

By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup and Will Jennings Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted: April 8, 2014

This is the thirty-fifth in a series of posts that report by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]

Polling Observatory #34: a voteless recovery so far but still time to turn the tide?

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings and Mark Pickup Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted: March 19, 2014

This is the thirty-fourth in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling fortunes are […]

Polling Observatory 33: public opinion steady through the storms

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings and Mark Pickup Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: February 12, 2014

This is the thirty-second in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling fortunes are […]

Polling Observatory 32: running down the clock

By Rob Ford Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: January 21, 2014

This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup is the thirty-second in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most […]

Polling Observatory 31: No joy from the polls as festive season approaches

By Rob Ford Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: December 13, 2013

This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup, is the thiry-first in a series that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. Manchester Policy Blogs will be posting Polling Observatory updates on a regular basis, alongside the well-established Ballots and Bullets blog. A more detailed […]