Here’s one worthy of BBC radio 4’s “More or Less”. According to the Coalition government they “reduced the deficit by 25%” – this mantra has been repeated over and over again by Ministers. But is it true?
Below I reproduce the figures that the Office of National Statistics (ONS) uses in its official bulletins on the national finances – specifically column JW2T of PSF1 (Public Sector Summary Balances). These are the latest available figures on the website. (http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/dcp171778_290416.pdf)
The first set of figures are by calendar year. Even if you take the worst figure for Labour – 2010, when they were only in power until May – and 2011 for the Coalition, the reduction is 16%.
The second set of figures is by financial year (April-March). Again, if you take the worst year for Labour – this time 2009/10 when they were in power all year, and 11/12 for the Coalition, the reduction is 15%.
The third set of figures is by Quarter. The last Quarter Labour was in power was Q2 of 2010 (-34,660) – by Q2 of 2011 the deficit was down by 2.4%.
Perhaps they are using the fourth set of figures, by month? If we take the worst option again for Labour – May 2010 – and compare it to May 2012, the deficit is up by 12%. So not that then.
So what figures are the Government using to claim a 25% reduction in the deficit? Anybody? Please? Tell me they’re not just making it up?
£ million
Current Budget Surplus/Deficit JW2T |
|
2003 |
-19,826 |
2004 |
-20,968 |
2005 |
-18,639 |
2006 |
-8,380 |
2007 |
-10,375 |
2008 |
-30,389 |
2009 |
-103,238 |
2010 |
-109,099 |
2011 |
-91,190 |
2003/04 |
-17,720 |
2004/05 |
-20,569 |
2005/06 |
-14,476 |
2006/07 |
-7,236 |
2007/08 |
-7,630 |
2008/09 |
-51,275 |
2009/10 |
-110,517 |
2010/11 |
-103,867 |
2011/12 |
-93,602 |
2009 Q2 |
-36,798 |
Q3 |
-26,925 |
Q4 |
-35,524 |
2010 Q1 |
-11,270 |
Q2 |
-34,660 |
Q3 |
-25,331 |
Q4 |
-37,838 |
2011 Q1 |
-6,038 |
Q2 |
-33,814 |
Q3 |
-19,695 |
Q4 |
-31,643 |
2012 Q1 |
-8,450 |
Q2 |
-37,001 |
Q3 |
-23,866 |
2010 Nov |
-17,979 |
Dec |
-14,244 |
2011 Jan |
9,209 |
Feb |
-4,955 |
Mar |
-10,292 |
Apr |
-8,290 |
May |
-13,619 |
Jun |
-11,905 |
Jul |
4,581 |
Aug |
-12,771 |
Sep |
-11,505 |
Oct |
-4,310 |
Nov |
-14,813 |
Dec |
-12,520 |
2012 Jan |
9,751 |
Feb |
-8,312 |
Mar |
-9,889 |
Apr |
-10,413 |
May |
-15,279 |
Jun |
-11,309 |
Jul |
1,407 |
Aug |
-13,320 |
Sep |
-11,953 |
Oct |
-6,543 |
Nov |
-15,795 |