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Polling Observatory 38: Polls may bounce, but public opinion usually doesn’t

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-eighth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

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Wrong, simplistic, unimaginative; dismantling Demos’s take on ethnic voting

Maria Sobolewska By Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted:

Upwardly mobile ethnic minority voters are more likely to turn Tory, claims new research by thinktank Demos. But Dr Maria Sobolewska questions the methodology of the study and the validity of the conclusions. Demos has published a report on whether the Conservatives could avoid Romney’s famous death by demographics, and attract enough ethnic minority votes […]

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Polling Observatory #35 (March 2014): Politics, Fast and Slow

Rob FordMark PickupWill Jennings By , and Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-fifth in a series of posts that report by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]

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How effective is social media in getting people to the polls?

Rachel Gibson By Filed Under: Featured, Westminster Watch Posted:

The question of whether Web 2.0 technologies work in ‘getting out the vote’ is one that remains the subject of some debate. Professor Rachel Gibson, who is leading research into the impact on the electorate, suggests that while online has its place, traditional methods still remain powerfully persuasive. This post is an adapted version of […]

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