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The Polling Observatory Forecast 2: Still A Dead Heat, Despite Recent Turbulence

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

As explained in the previous inaugural election forecast last month, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The method employed involves trying to make the […]

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Polling Observatory 37: No Westminster polling aftershock from European earthquake

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-seventh in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien  that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces […]

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Polling Observatory #35 (March 2014): Politics, Fast and Slow

Rob FordMark PickupWill Jennings By , and Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-fifth in a series of posts that report by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]

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Polling Observatory #34: a voteless recovery so far but still time to turn the tide?

Rob FordWill JenningsMark Pickup By , and Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-fourth in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling fortunes are […]

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Polling Observatory 33: public opinion steady through the storms

Rob FordWill JenningsMark Pickup By , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the thirty-second in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling fortunes are […]

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Polling Observatory 32: running down the clock

Rob Ford By Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup is the thirty-second in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most […]

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Polling Observatory 31: No joy from the polls as festive season approaches

Rob Ford By Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup, is the thiry-first in a series that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. Manchester Policy Blogs will be posting Polling Observatory updates on a regular basis, alongside the well-established Ballots and Bullets blog. A more detailed […]

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How effective is social media in getting people to the polls?

Rachel Gibson By Filed Under: Featured, Westminster Watch Posted:

The question of whether Web 2.0 technologies work in ‘getting out the vote’ is one that remains the subject of some debate. Professor Rachel Gibson, who is leading research into the impact on the electorate, suggests that while online has its place, traditional methods still remain powerfully persuasive. This post is an adapted version of […]

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