Liberal Democrat

All this talk about balancing the budget is …

By Colin Talbot Filed Under: Westminster Watch, Whitehall Watch Posted: December 12, 2014

Remember the Maastricht criteria? No, I didn’t think so. Nor apparently do Britain’s political leaders, based on their manifestos for tackling the UK’s deficit. The Maastricht Criteria were the convergence criteria for European countries that wanted to join the Euro. Agreed in 1992 (including by John Major’s Conservative government) it covered inflation, deficits, debt, exchange […]

The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best use of […]

The Polling Observatory Forecast 3: Slow decline in Tory prospects, but still too close to call

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: July 17, 2014

Polling Observatory #34: a voteless recovery so far but still time to turn the tide?

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings and Mark Pickup Filed Under: Polling Observatory Posted: March 19, 2014

This is the thirty-fourth in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling fortunes are […]

Polling Observatory 33: public opinion steady through the storms

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings and Mark Pickup Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: February 12, 2014

This is the thirty-second in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling fortunes are […]

Polling Observatory 32: running down the clock

By Rob Ford Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: January 21, 2014

This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup is the thirty-second in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most […]

Polling Observatory 31: No joy from the polls as festive season approaches

By Rob Ford Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: December 13, 2013

This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup, is the thiry-first in a series that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. Manchester Policy Blogs will be posting Polling Observatory updates on a regular basis, alongside the well-established Ballots and Bullets blog. A more detailed […]

Polling Observatory #30: Good news for all the parties… except the Lib Dems

By Rob Ford Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: November 19, 2013

This blog post, by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings and Dr Mark Pickup, is the thirtieth in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. From now onwards, Manchester Policy Blogs will be posting Polling Observatory updates on a regular basis, alongside the well established Ballots […]

All this talk about balancing the budget is …

The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

The Polling Observatory Forecast 3: Slow decline in Tory prospects, but still too close to call

Polling Observatory #34: a voteless recovery so far but still time to turn the tide?

Polling Observatory 33: public opinion steady through the storms

Polling Observatory 32: running down the clock

Polling Observatory 31: No joy from the polls as festive season approaches

Polling Observatory #30: Good news for all the parties… except the Lib Dems

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