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Polling Observatory #43: Stability returns with race close to dead heat

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: All posts, Polling Observatory Posted:

This is the forty-third in a series of posts that report on the state of the parties as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence we can reduce the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces. Most of the short term advances and setbacks in party polling […]

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The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By , , and Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted:

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best use of […]

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