Policy@Manchester Articles

The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best use of […]

Polling Observatory 40: Treading water as Scotland’s big moment approaches

By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 9, 2014

This is the fortieth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Racial inequality in employment worsened in recessions

By Yaojun Li Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: September 4, 2014

Despite Race Acts intended to ensure equality of opportunity, employment inequality persists – and got worse in each recent recession, explains Professor Yaojun Li. Ethnic minority men are more likely than white men to be jobless when the economy is booming. During periods of recession they suffer disproportionately higher unemployment rates. Social surveys covering the […]

Can we ever estimate how many British Muslims will become Islamic extremists?

By Maria Sobolewska Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 26, 2014

That the UK’s counter-terrorism policy relies on flawed polls and survey questions for estimating the number of likely terrorists is truly scary, argues Dr Maria Sobolewska. Last week the media turned once again to trying to quantify how many young British Muslims are wannabe terrorists, travelling to Syria and Iraq and joining the Islamic terrorists […]

The decline of racial prejudice in Britain

By Rob Ford Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 21, 2014

The recent release of the 2013 British Social Attitudes report has triggered the usual bout of agonised soul searching about the state of the nation, writes Dr Robert Ford. But dig into the data and it becomes clear that racial prejudice is on the decline. The British, it seems, are becoming meaner and more inward […]

Polling Observatory 39: Big two recover as UKIP fall back

By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: August 20, 2014

This is the thirty-nineth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

To save lives we must rethink our assumptions about good healthcare

By Stephanie Snow Filed Under: Featured, Science and Technology Posted: August 7, 2014

A new report in the British Medical Journal on centralising acute stroke services in Greater Manchester and London reveals the revolution in stroke care and treatment over the last twenty years – and it contains vital lessons for patients and policymakers, explains Dr Stephanie Snow. Around 152,000 of us will suffer from stroke in the […]

Politicians need to grasp that there are many ways of being British

By Bridget Byrne Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 7, 2014

There are many ways of being British. This is a reality that politicians and others need to understand, explains Dr Bridget Byrne. In response to the ‘Trojan horse’ controversy in Birmingham, David Cameron, Conservative Party leader has again stressed his belief in the need to emphasise ‘British values’. This is not a new approach. In […]

The burning issue of health inequality in our cities

By Arpana Verma Filed Under: All posts, Featured Posted: August 4, 2014

For the first time in human history more people now live in cities than don’t. Yet urban areas continue to be characterised by what are often extreme and stark variations in economic and social health, says Dr Arpana Verma. It is no surprise that the juxtaposition of the urban rich living right next to the […]

The hidden crisis of mothers who repeatedly lose children to care

By Karen Broadhurst Filed Under: Featured Posted: July 31, 2014

A new study has revealed how many mothers lose successive infants to public care, explains Dr Karen Broadhurst. Speak to any judge around the country and he or she will readily recount a case of a vulnerable mother who has appeared in the family court on successive occasions, losing infant after infant to public care […]

The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

Polling Observatory 40: Treading water as Scotland’s big moment approaches

Racial inequality in employment worsened in recessions

Can we ever estimate how many British Muslims will become Islamic extremists?

Polling Observatory 39: Big two recover as UKIP fall back

To save lives we must rethink our assumptions about good healthcare

Politicians need to grasp that there are many ways of being British

The burning issue of health inequality in our cities

The hidden crisis of mothers who repeatedly lose children to care

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