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Author Archive for: "rob.ford"
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Polling Observatory Scottish referendum special: who is ahead, and how close is it?

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

This is a Scottish independence special of a regular series of posts that reports on the state of support for the parties in Westminster as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence the impact of the random variation each individual survey inevitably produces can be reduced. Most of the short […]

Tagged With: cameron, independence, No, opinion, polling, polls, Salmond, Scotland, Scottish referendum, voters, voting, Yes

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The Polling Observatory Forecast 4: Conservative hopes recede slowly

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 12, 2014

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best use of […]

Tagged With: Conservative, election forecast, GE2015, general election, Labour, Liberal Democrat, polling, polling observatory, UKIP, voters, voting

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Polling Observatory 40: Treading water as Scotland’s big moment approaches

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: September 9, 2014

This is the fortieth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Tagged With: conservatives, GE2015, general election, Labour, Liberal Democrats, polling observatory, Scotland, Scottish referendum, UKIP, voters, voting

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The decline of racial prejudice in Britain

Rob Ford By Rob Ford Filed Under: Ethnicity, Featured Posted: August 21, 2014

The recent release of the 2013 British Social Attitudes report has triggered the usual bout of agonised soul searching about the state of the nation, writes Dr Robert Ford. But dig into the data and it becomes clear that racial prejudice is on the decline. The British, it seems, are becoming meaner and more inward […]

Tagged With: BSA, inequality, prejudice, racial prejudice, racism, social attitudes

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Polling Observatory 39: Big two recover as UKIP fall back

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: August 20, 2014

This is the thirty-nineth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Tagged With: election, electorate, GE2015, general election, opinion polls, polling observatory, popularity, voters, voting

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The Polling Observatory Forecast 3: Slow decline in Tory prospects, but still too close to call

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: July 17, 2014

As explained in the inaugural election forecast, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The authors’ method involves trying to make the best […]

Tagged With: conservatives, election, GE2015, general election, Labour, Liberal Democrat, polling, voters, voting

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Polling Observatory 38: Polls may bounce, but public opinion usually doesn’t

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: July 9, 2014

This is the thirty-eighth in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces can […]

Tagged With: GE2015, general election, opinion, polling, polls, voter intention, votes, voting

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The Polling Observatory Forecast 2: Still A Dead Heat, Despite Recent Turbulence

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: June 18, 2014

As explained in the previous inaugural election forecast last month, up until May next year the Polling Observatory team will be producing a long term forecast for the 2015 General Election, using methods first applied ahead of the 2010 election (and which are also well-established in the United States). The method employed involves trying to make the […]

Tagged With: conservatives, election, GE2015, Labour, Liberal Democrats, polling

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Polling Observatory 37: No Westminster polling aftershock from European earthquake

Rob FordWill JenningsMark PickupChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: June 10, 2014

This is the thirty-seventh in a series of posts by Dr Robert Ford, Dr Will Jennings, Dr Mark Pickup and Prof Christopher Wlezien  that report on the state of the parties in the UK as measured by opinion polls. By pooling together all the available polling evidence, the impact of the random variation that each individual survey inevitably produces […]

Tagged With: conservatives, GE2015, general election, Labour, Lib Dems, opinion polls, politics, polling, pollsters, UKIP

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Polling Observatory General Election Forecast #1: Parties set for a photo finish

Rob FordMark PickupWill JenningsChristopher Wlezien By Rob Ford, Mark Pickup, Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien Filed Under: Featured, Polling Observatory Posted: May 7, 2014

With exactly a year to go until the country goes to the polls, the Polling Observatory team launch their forecast for the outcome of 2015 general election. Starting this month, the Polling Observatory team is joined by a new member: our old friend and colleague, Christopher Wlezien of the University of Texas at Austin, who will […]

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